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Monday, May 21, 2018

Modi Vs All in 2019?

Modi Vs All in 2019?


After snatching power in Karnataka from Modi-Shah combine, Opposition now is making swift moves and said to be designing a super plan to oust Narendra Modi. In fact, the Opposition is seeking to use the Karnataka ploy for the 2019 Lok Sabha elections.

Opposition heavyweights such as Chandrababu Naidu, Mamata Banerjee, Akhilesh Yadav, KCR, Mayawati, Tejashwi Yadav, Sonia, Rahul Gandhi and several other opposition leaders across the nation are going to grace the swearing-in ceremony of Kumaraswamy on Wednesday (May 23rd) at Bengaluru. This is expected to be a crucial meet which is likely to set the agenda, tone for the United Opposition to oust Narendra Modi. Political analysts predict that all Opposition parties, keeping their differences aside, could unite to defeat Modi in 2019.

Congress and JD(S) who fought separately in Karnataka have ended up getting a fractured verdict. Mamata Banerjee had already opined that the result would have been very very different had Congress and JD(S) fought together. Many Opposition leaders to opine the same. Amidst this, it is widely speculated that Kumaraswamy's oath-taking ceremony could witness the origin for a Mega Grand Alliance to rout BJP in 2019 polls. 

Opposition leaders from 12 major political parties covering 11 states constitute 349 Lok Sabha seats. This is certainly a very big number to stop Modi juggernaut in 2019. Looks like, Modi-Shah combine is going to have a very tough time ahead. Modi's unilateral decisions have already earned him a lot of enemies. His friends/allies have turned into foes. NDA has weakened with allies leaving the camp one after the other.

Be it demonetization or imposing GST or price rise or hike in fuel prices or non-fulfillment of poll promises (especially huge injustice meted out to AP) are all expected to haunt Modi in 2019. Unlike 2014 where he had a wave, he doesn't enjoy a major support from the public as well. 

Even in the recent by-elections in Rajasthan and Uttar Pradesh, BJP has lost miserably. Whilst Congress has beaten BJP with 3-0 in Rajasthan in the election year, SP-BSP combine has beaten BJP in Yogi Adityanath's Uttar Pradesh, in fact, the own parliament seats of Yogi Adityanath and his deputy CM were lost to SP-BSP. 

Now, the Karnataka shadow is expected to be cast on Rajasthan where Assembly elections are going to held later this year. Since BJP had won all 25 Loksabha seats in Rajasthan in 2014, the result of Rajasthan Assembly elections this year will be seen as the verdict of 2019 Loksabha polls. 

Earlier in the by-polls to the Mandalgarh Assembly and Ajmer and Alwar Lok Sabha constituencies, BJP lost all three seats to Congress. Taking responsibility, CM Vasundhara Raje's loyalist Ashok Parnami has resigned. The Saffron party is yet to get the substitute for Ashok and CM Vasundhara is said to be not comfortable with party senior leaders. All this is leading to a lot of infighting within Rajasthan BJP indicating a serious trouble for the party in the coming Assembly polls in Rajasthan. After losing Karnataka in South, if BJP loses in Rajasthan in North, it indicates a fall of Modi empire. 

Considering all the above, United Opposition parties are pulling out all the stops to defeat Modi-Shah combine in 2019. The moot question is can Modi overcome this or will he fall.


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